Pistachio Project Carviçais · Douro Superior

Production and revenue

Production ramps up from year 6 and, from year 11, alternates between on-years and off-years.

Production start Year 6

First material harvest in the model

Average production ~72 t/year

Average across the full-production years, alternation included · 1,800 kg/ha

On-year / off-year 1,500–2,100 kg/ha

Swing between the two kinds of year: ~33%

Average revenue 360.0 k€/year

At the model base price, before costs · €5.00/kg

Alternate bearing

The curve follows the pistachio schedule in the Portuguese CAP technical guidance for a density of 286 trees/ha — the closest to the 6 × 6 m spacing adopted, which gives 278: from 400 to 1,500 kg/ha in years 6 to 9, and a mature level of 1,800 kg/ha. From year 11 output alternates around that level, even years heavy and odd years light, so that the average across the twenty full-production years remains exactly the 1,800 kg/ha of the reference. Alternate bearing redistributes the crop; it does not shrink it.

Production and revenue curve — 30 years

Production and revenue, year by year

Year Yield (kg/ha) Total production (kg) Price (€/kg) Revenue (€)
1 0 0 €5.00 €0
2 0 0 €5.00 €0
3 0 0 €5.00 €0
4 0 0 €5.00 €0
5 0 0 €5.00 €0
6 400 16,000 €5.00 €80,000
7 800 32,000 €5.00 €160,000
8 1,200 48,000 €5.00 €240,000
9 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
10 1,800 72,000 €5.00 €360,000
11 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
12 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
13 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
14 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
15 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
16 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
17 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
18 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
19 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
20 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
21 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
22 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
23 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
24 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
25 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
26 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
27 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
28 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000
29 1,500 60,000 €5.00 €300,000
30 2,100 84,000 €5.00 €420,000