Pistachio Project Carviçais · Douro Superior

Investor economics

Illustrative metrics from the current model. Corporate structure, distribution and exit valuation are negotiable.

Term sheet assumptions

Economic stake
40%
Reserve fund
10% · every year, up to the fund ceiling
Reserve fund ceiling
€400,000
Distribution of the remainder
100%
Year the options become exercisable
Year 20
Call option multiple
5.5×
Put option multiple
4.0×

Corporate structure and land

The land does not enter the company

The three parcels stay in the promoters’ names. The company farms them under a 40-year free-use agreement. That avoids tying up capital in buying land — which at this scale would be the single largest line — and keeps the investment concentrated in the planting and productive infrastructure.

Why the split is 60/40

The investor puts in almost all the cash capital and takes 40 % of the economics. The difference corresponds to what the promoters contribute in kind and which never appears in the CAPEX: the use of the three parcels for 40 years, the development work, the public funding application and execution on the ground.

Note

For this split to be auditable rather than merely agreed, two steps are missing: formalising the land arrangement in a registered contract, and putting a value on that use and on the development work. Without them, the 60/40 rests on an understanding between the parties.

Because the land is not owned by the company, what changes hands at exit is the farming operation and the remaining right of use, not the freehold. At year 20 there are 20 years of the agreement left — more than the orchard’s remaining productive life — but the valuation must reflect that the asset is the orchard, not the land.

How the stake ends

The stake does not lapse. If neither option is exercised, the investor keeps it and carries on receiving distributions to the end of the horizon.

Promoters’ call option

From year 20, the promoters may buy the stake at the agreed multiple. This is the model’s reference case.

Investor’s put option

From the same year, the investor may require the purchase at a lower multiple. It is the floor of the return, paid in instalments so as not to strain cash.

Neither option is exercised

The stake remains and distributions continue. A buyer failing to appear stops being a loss.

A reserve fund topped up every year

Before any distribution, 10 % of cash flow feeds a reserve fund, up to its ceiling. The fund covers the gap between paying costs through the year and being paid at harvest, the renewal of irrigation, abstraction and power that the planned reinvestments do not fully cover, and a buffer for a bad year. What remains is distributed in full, and the fund is added to the exit value.

A gentle, continuous retention beats a heavy one that stops early: it releases more cash in the first producing years, which carry the most weight in the return, and keeps building for the later renewals.

Outcome Proceeds at year 20 IRR MOIC
Promoters’ call option €748,525 9.65% 4.14×
Investor’s put option €578,125 9.17% 3.76×
Neither option is exercised — 9.07% 4.39×

Scenario comparison

Preferred scenario

Scenario A — with PEPAC

Capital invested 450.0 k€
IRR 9.65%
MOIC 4.14×
Exit proceeds
€748,525
Cumulative to exit
€1,412,052
Investor payback
Year 13

Independent scenario

Scenario B — without PEPAC

Capital invested 650.0 k€
IRR 6.94%
MOIC 2.86×
Exit proceeds
€748,525
Cumulative to exit
€1,212,052
Investor payback
Year 15

Cumulative investor cash flow

Year 20 EBITDA and exit valuation

Gross revenue €420,000
Farming costs -€60,000
Overhead costs -€16,000
EBITDA €344,000
Exit valuation (5.5×) €1,871,313
Investor share of the exit €748,525

Investor cash flows

Annual distributions and exit proceeds under the selected scenario. — Scenario A — with PEPAC

Year Project cash flow (€) Distribution to investor (€) Exit proceeds (€) Investor cash flow (€) Cumulative (€)
0 -418,236 0 — -450,000 -450,000
1 -40,076 0 — 0 -450,000
2 -40,076 0 — 0 -450,000
3 -40,076 0 — 0 -450,000
4 -40,076 0 — 0 -450,000
5 -40,076 0 — 0 -450,000
6 23,924 8,613 — 8,613 -441,387
7 103,924 37,413 — 37,413 -403,975
8 183,924 66,213 — 66,213 -337,762
9 208,831 75,179 — 75,179 -262,583
10 229,491 82,617 — 82,617 -179,966
11 197,091 70,953 — 70,953 -109,013
12 291,891 105,081 — 105,081 -3,932
13 197,091 70,953 — 70,953 67,021
14 291,891 105,081 — 105,081 172,102
15 167,611 60,340 — 60,340 232,442
16 282,411 101,668 — 101,668 334,110
17 187,611 67,540 — 67,540 401,650
18 282,411 101,668 — 101,668 503,318
19 187,611 67,540 — 67,540 570,858
20 257,411 92,668 748,525 841,193 1,412,052
21 183,220 0 — 0 1,412,052
22 278,020 0 — 0 1,412,052
23 183,220 0 — 0 1,412,052
24 278,020 0 — 0 1,412,052
25 173,740 0 — 0 1,412,052
26 268,540 0 — 0 1,412,052
27 173,740 0 — 0 1,412,052
28 268,540 0 — 0 1,412,052
29 173,740 0 — 0 1,412,052
30 268,540 0 — 0 1,412,052